inessential by Brent Simmons

Just Don’t Listen

In 1997 I went to InternetWorld in Los Angeles — it may have been my first tech conference.

The prevailing wisdom was that in a few years the web would be consolidated. There’d be seven or eight large sites like PathFinder, and that’s it. Everybody knew it.

And then blogging happened.

Fast-forward to just ten years ago. In 2004 everybody knew that to write native apps was to stick to a hokey religion and ancient frameworks. No match for web apps. Time was up for native apps. Everybody knew it.

And then iPhone and iPad happened.

Now, today, there’s a report about how the web is doomed and native apps are eating up everything. Everybody knows it’s pretty much over for the web.

Do not believe it.